If you want the gravy…

…You've got to get the biscuits!


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Reviewing the 90th Academy Awards

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Just gonna start by saying – I’m really happy with how this year turned out. Even though there were few outright surprises (only a couple, honestly), it still felt good to see things play out the way they did. And that all starts with…

Best Picture: The Shape of Water

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My 7th Annual Film Awards, in the Style of the Golden Globes

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No nominations in my regular awards, but here? It gets some love.

You may recall I’d done my 2014 awards in this fashion. I’d drawn this up for fun, but after posting my official awards, I figured I’d post this as well. Because this year was so dominated by Dramas, the Comedy awards give some under-appreciated films the respect they deserve.

Picture – Drama:

  1. Dunkirk
  2. The Shape of Water
  3. Blade Runner 2049
  4. Phantom Thread
  5. The Killing of a Sacred Deer

Picture – Musical/Comedy:

  1. Get Out
  2. I, Tonya
  3. The Big Sick
  4. Lady Bird
  5. Coco

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Predicting the 90th Academy Awards

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What a time to be alive, when such a film could not only get into the Oscar race, but do so with a vengeance.

I’m going to start by saying that I won’t get as in-depth, nuts-and-boltsy with this post as I did with my predicting-what-will-be-nominated post. Some of that may be due to personal fatigue. But a lot of it is due to what this season has become – a melange of yawn-inducing locks, conflicting precedents, and confounding dead heats. At this point, I could write a whole article arguing with myself over what will win Best Picture. And there are several categories which could end up being swing categories, changing the course of the big night when it’s far too late for me to cover my analytical ass.

This is the kind of year where you could call most of the categories with a reasonable degree of confidence. That’s if you had an abiding trust in the stats and the Academy’s capacity to behave themselves. I don’t, and this year I’m going to try not to take too much for granted. It may be for naught, but isn’t everything, if you take a broad enough view?

We’ll start with the big ‘un.

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My 7th Annual Film Awards: The Winners and Rankings

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And here we are once again. Remember that my top 5 in each category were the nominees unless otherwise noted. I’m listing my top 20 in each category except Picture, where I list 25. The nominees themselves, along with additional information on these categories, can be found here.

A quick key: * – Oscar nominee; ** – Golden Globe nominee but NOT Oscar nominated; *** – BAFTA nominee but not Oscar or Globe nominated; **** – SAG nominee.

And now, the winners:

Picture:

  1. Dunkirk*
  2. The Shape of Water*
  3. Blade Runner 2049
  4. Phantom Thread*
  5. The Killing of a Sacred Deer
  6. A Quiet Passion
  7. Columbus
  8. Get Out*
  9. Lady Macbeth***
  10. Detroit
  11. I, Tonya**
  12. The Big Sick
  13. Lady Bird*
  14. Kedi
  15. Molly’s Game
  16. Coco
  17. Star Wars: The Last Jedi
  18. Call Me by Your Name*
  19. The Little Hours
  20. Wonder Woman
  21. Mudbound
  22. The Post*
  23. Faces Places
  24. The Florida Project
  25. War for the Planet of the Apes

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The 90th Academy Awards Nominations

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Oh, don’t look so sour. You had a pretty damn good morning.

So I got up way too damn early to watch the Oscar nominations announcement, but was rewarded for my sacrifice with a few nice surprises and few, if any, unpleasant ones.

Here’s what I predicted would be nominated, along with my rationale for each. As a reminder, my batting average the last couple of years was around 75%.

And the nominees are…

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