If you want the gravy…

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My 6th Annual Film Awards: The Nominations

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Best Picture:

  • Christine
  • Don’t Think Twice
  • Elle
  • Fences
  • The Handmaiden
  • Indignation
  • Jackie
  • The Lobster
  • Nocturnal Animals
  • Weiner

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Predicting the 89th Academy Awards Nominees

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I fancy they’ll be recognized – but what about their film?

Tomorrow morning, the nominees for the 89th Academy Awards will be announced. You’ll see many a blog post trying to predict the contenders; you’ll hear many a pundit try and make the case for Film A over Film B; commenters on an infinitude of social media posts will tell you why one nomination can’t happen but another must.

Let me be an oasis of practicality amidst all the sound and fury. Let me, who has devoted more time than any reasonable man should to meditating on films and film awards, offer you my insight into what the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences will likely anoint and elevate into the canon.

If you wish to read my thoughts on other aspects of the awards race, I have compiled a list of key articles at the bottom of this post. We have a lot of ground to cover, and let us commence without delay.

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Directors Guild Award Nominations 2016

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Not too shabby for a first-timer. (Source)

All right. This is the last big guild we get. (Might be the last guild to announce period, I’m not sure.) In 12 days, the Academy announces their nominees, and after that it’s just a matter of waiting.

So let’s see what the directors have for us…

  • Damien Chazelle, La La Land
  • Garth Davis, Lion
  • Barry Jenkins, Moonlight
  • Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester By the Sea
  • Denis Villeneuve, Arrival

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ASC Award Nominees 2016

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An example of Bradford Young’s excellent cinematography for Arrival (Source).

The American Society of Cinematographers announced their award nominees today. They usually don’t match up perfectly with the Oscars, but you can count on them for at least 4 out of the 5 nominees.

Their nominees are:

  • Arrival
  • La La Land
  • Lion
  • Moonlight
  • Silence

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Producers Guild Award Nominees: 2016

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Could Mel have found his way back into the industry’s good graces?

And now the Producers Guild chimes in. They’re traditionally a very solid barometer of most, but not all, of the Best Picture nominees. I’ll get into more in a moment, but first, the nominees:

  • Arrival
  • Deadpool
  • Fences
  • Hacksaw Ridge
  • Hell or High Water
  • Hidden Figures
  • La La Land
  • Lion
  • Manchester By the Sea
  • Moonlight

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The 74th Golden Globe Awards Predictions

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The multiple categories for Picture, Actor, and Actress and the single category for Screenplay may limit the effect the Globes have on the Oscars. But they can’t be overlooked as a step on the way there.

And here are my final predictions for them.

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