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The 90th Academy Awards Nominations

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Oh, don’t look so sour. You had a pretty damn good morning.

So I got up way too damn early to watch the Oscar nominations announcement, but was rewarded for my sacrifice with a few nice surprises and few, if any, unpleasant ones.

Here’s what I predicted would be nominated, along with my rationale for each. As a reminder, my batting average the last couple of years was around 75%.

And the nominees are…

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Predicting the 90th Academy Awards Nominations

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Greta Gerwig will almost certainly become the first woman to write and direct an Oscar nominee for Best Picture.

This is always a tricky post to write, but this year more than most. Between categories which are overstuffed, categories where the precursors can’t make up their damn minds, and sure-thing films that aren’t so sure anymore, I’m flying fairly blind here. Which is just fine, I’d rather do that than be bored.

While I’d love to go wild and predict left-field nominations for films I loved (The Killing of a Sacred Deer, baby), I’m going to try and take this relatively seriously. I have no idea why. But the last couple of years I predicted the nominees with roughly 75% accuracy, and I wouldn’t mind keeping that streak alive.

So buckle in and let’s get started, shall we?

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HAMLET (1948) Review – ***½

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“This is the tragedy of a man who could not make up his mind.” (Source)

The quintessential Shakespearean actor of his time, playing the quintessential Shakespearean character in the quintessential Shakespearean play—directing it as well, and adapting/heavily cutting the text? It’s hard to imagine a classier enterprise, and the Academy agreed, giving the film Best Picture and Olivier Best Actor, the only Shakespearean film and performance to be so honored.

But how does it hold up 70 years after the fact?

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Wrapping Up the 89th Academy Awards

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I really wish I hadn’t been buried in my phone.

I was too busy grumbling about a film I had never come to love, a film I had never been able to respect, even as a hypothetical winner. Too busy to notice at first the confusion in the background.

And then came the revelation. I thought it was a joke. A lot of you probably did as well. But then the La La Land team gracefully ceded the stage to the stunned and triumphant Moonlight crowd, and that perennial maverick Warren Beatty found himself at the center of the first time in Oscar history (that I know of) that the wrong name was called.

And how do I feel about it?

Read on.

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Predicting the 89th Academy Awards

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The biggest possible screen for the likeliest winner…but would that make it better? (Source)

We’re getting down to the wire here, people.

I’ve watched every Picture, Director, acting, and writing nominee, and most of the tech nominees, and pored over a season’s worth of winners and nominees, to bring you a thorough overview of the nominations and a carefully considered prediction of the winners in each category.

Get comfortable, kids. We’ve got a lot of territory to cover.

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Predicting the 89th Academy Awards Nominees

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I fancy they’ll be recognized – but what about their film?

Tomorrow morning, the nominees for the 89th Academy Awards will be announced. You’ll see many a blog post trying to predict the contenders; you’ll hear many a pundit try and make the case for Film A over Film B; commenters on an infinitude of social media posts will tell you why one nomination can’t happen but another must.

Let me be an oasis of practicality amidst all the sound and fury. Let me, who has devoted more time than any reasonable man should to meditating on films and film awards, offer you my insight into what the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences will likely anoint and elevate into the canon.

If you wish to read my thoughts on other aspects of the awards race, I have compiled a list of key articles at the bottom of this post. We have a lot of ground to cover, and let us commence without delay.

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