The BAFTAs announced today. No major upsets (one mild surprise, though), but this awards race is getting interesting for reasons I’ll delve into…
So I got up way too damn early to watch the Oscar nominations announcement, but was rewarded for my sacrifice with a few nice surprises and few, if any, unpleasant ones.
Here’s what I predicted would be nominated, along with my rationale for each. As a reminder, my batting average the last couple of years was around 75%.
And the nominees are…
This is always a tricky post to write, but this year more than most. Between categories which are overstuffed, categories where the precursors can’t make up their damn minds, and sure-thing films that aren’t so sure anymore, I’m flying fairly blind here. Which is just fine, I’d rather do that than be bored.
While I’d love to go wild and predict left-field nominations for films I loved (The Killing of a Sacred Deer, baby), I’m going to try and take this relatively seriously. I have no idea why. But the last couple of years I predicted the nominees with roughly 75% accuracy, and I wouldn’t mind keeping that streak alive.
So buckle in and let’s get started, shall we?
- March 4: My 6th Annual Film Awards
- March 4: Predicting the 90th Academy Awards
- March 5: Reviewing the 90th Academy Awards
The Screen Actors Guild nominations were announced the other day, and I’d better go over them, since they usually give us a good idea of what the industry (as opposed to the critics) likes this year. They rarely match up perfectly with the Oscars, but usually you can make educated guesses with them.
Without further ado…
The quintessential Shakespearean actor of his time, playing the quintessential Shakespearean character in the quintessential Shakespearean play—directing it as well, and adapting/heavily cutting the text? It’s hard to imagine a classier enterprise, and the Academy agreed, giving the film Best Picture and Olivier Best Actor, the only Shakespearean film and performance to be so honored.
But how does it hold up 70 years after the fact?
I really wish I hadn’t been buried in my phone.
I was too busy grumbling about a film I had never come to love, a film I had never been able to respect, even as a hypothetical winner. Too busy to notice at first the confusion in the background.
And then came the revelation. I thought it was a joke. A lot of you probably did as well. But then the La La Land team gracefully ceded the stage to the stunned and triumphant Moonlight crowd, and that perennial maverick Warren Beatty found himself at the center of the first time in Oscar history (that I know of) that the wrong name was called.
And how do I feel about it?