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The 90th Academy Awards Nominations

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Oh, don’t look so sour. You had a pretty damn good morning.

So I got up way too damn early to watch the Oscar nominations announcement, but was rewarded for my sacrifice with a few nice surprises and few, if any, unpleasant ones.

Here’s what I predicted would be nominated, along with my rationale for each. As a reminder, my batting average the last couple of years was around 75%.

And the nominees are…

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Predicting the 90th Academy Awards Nominations

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Greta Gerwig will almost certainly become the first woman to write and direct an Oscar nominee for Best Picture.

This is always a tricky post to write, but this year more than most. Between categories which are overstuffed, categories where the precursors can’t make up their damn minds, and sure-thing films that aren’t so sure anymore, I’m flying fairly blind here. Which is just fine, I’d rather do that than be bored.

While I’d love to go wild and predict left-field nominations for films I loved (The Killing of a Sacred Deer, baby), I’m going to try and take this relatively seriously. I have no idea why. But the last couple of years I predicted the nominees with roughly 75% accuracy, and I wouldn’t mind keeping that streak alive.

So buckle in and let’s get started, shall we?

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Directors Guild Awards Nominations: 2017

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From TV sketch comedian to award-nominated film director in two years. (Source)

The DGA announced their nominees today. And as much as I like the BAFTAs and the Globes, the DGA is much more useful for predicting what the Academy will do, because the people who pick the Oscar nominees are all DGA members (at least, I’d imagine so).

And I have to say, their choices don’t make predicting the Oscars (nominees or winners) much easier. Which is just fine by me.

And the nominees are…

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BAFTA Nominations: 2017

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A not wholly unexpected BAFTA darling. (Source)

Before the BAFTA nominations were announced, I openly expressed my desire that they would shake up the race. And while they didn’t totally throw it into chaos, they most certainly made it more interesting, in the process providing me with what might be my favorite single nomination of the season to date.

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