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BAFTA Nominations: 2016

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What I feared was one of the year’s underrated films might just be a contender after all. (Source)

Best Film:

  • Arrival
  • I, Daniel Blake
  • La La Land
  • Manchester By the Sea
  • Moonlight

I, Daniel Blake makes the combined Best Film list. That’s interesting. Usually they keep this category pretty Hollywoodized. I wonder if it might snag a surprise Oscar nom at this point.

Best British Film:

  • American Honey
  • Denial
  • Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
  • I, Daniel Blake
  • Notes on Blindness
  • Under the Shadow

Interesting category. Daniel Blake is winning this, I’d imagine.

Best Director:

  • Damien Chazelle, La La Land
  • Tom Ford, Nocturnal Animals
  • Ken Loach, I, Daniel Blake
  • Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester By the Sea
  • Denis Villeneuve, Arrival

Some surprises here. No Barry Jenkins – I wonder if that means anything. Ford is here (nice); if he repeats with the DGA, he might just get on at the Oscars. Loach is a nice touch. And Villeneuve is a worthy pick, even if I’m not quite as big a fan of the film as most.

Best Actor:

  • Casey Affleck, Manchester By the Sea
  • Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge
  • Ryan Gosling, La La Land
  • Jake Gyllenhaal, Nocturnal Animals
  • Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic

Woah. No Denzel. That’s odd. I can’t imagine he’s not making it on at the Oscars, presumably over Gyllenhaal, but still. Also, no Dave Johns, which is a bit strange.

Still don’t get Garfield being here. Don’t really get Gosling, either. Gyllenhaal is a cool choice, and certainly a worthy one, based on his performance.

Mortensen might really get an Oscar nom at this point. He’s got SAG, the Globes, and now this. Not sure I entirely get it, but good for him.

Best Actress:

  • Amy Adams, Arrival
  • Emily Blunt, The Girl on the Train
  • Natalie Portman, Jackie
  • Emma Stone, La La Land
  • Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins

Blunt, eh? Between this and SAG, she might get an Oscar nom too. I wouldn’t totally bank on it – her being British probably gave her a boost here – but don’t be shocked if it happened. (It’s worth noting that Elle and Isabelle Huppert won’t be BAFTA-eligible until next year.)

The other four are pretty much locked at this point.

Best Supporting Actor:

  • Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
  • Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water
  • Hugh Grant, Florence Foster Jenkins
  • Dev Patel, Lion
  • Aaron Taylor-Johnson, Nocturnal Animals

Holy shit. Aaron Taylor-Johnson again. Still not sure why you’d pick him over Michael Shannon, but fuck it, any attention that movie gets is fine by me (though, really, why did they not put it in Best Film as well?).

I also still say Grant is lead, but between this, the Globes, and SAG (and a weakish category), I’d say he’s a safe bet for an Oscar nod.

Best Supporting Actress:

  • Viola Davis, Fences
  • Naomie Harris, Moonlight
  • Nicole Kidman, Lion
  • Hayley Squires, I, Daniel Blake
  • Michelle Williams, Manchester By the Sea

Hayley Squires. That’s interesting. Especially since they didn’t nominate Dave Johns.

The other four are locked for Oscars. Squires will probably be overlooked in favor of…I’ll guess Octavia Spencer.

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But the homegrown message film didn’t do too shabbily either.

Best Original Screenplay:

  • Hell or High Water
  • I, Daniel Blake
  • La La Land
  • Manchester By the Sea
  • Moonlight

No surprises here, given what we’ve seen so far. Moonlight, of course, will be Adapted at the Oscars (and with me).

Best Adapted Screenplay:

  • Arrival
  • Hacksaw Ridge
  • Hidden Figures
  • Lion
  • Nocturnal Animals

Hacksaw Ridge? Uh…sure.

Lion not making it into Best British Film seems even odder now. (I’m sure it was eligible.)

Rooting 100% for Nocturnal Animals here.

Best Cinematography:

  • Arrival
  • Hell or High Water
  • La La Land
  • Lion
  • Nocturnal Animals

No Moonlight. Weird. Loving the Nocturnal Animals love, though. Can’t argue too much with any of these (even Lion was well shot).

Best Editing:

  • Arrival
  • Hacksaw Ridge
  • La La Land
  • Manchester By the Sea
  • Nocturnal Animals

Nocturnal Animals should win this. Arrival is the only other film I’d say even comes close. (La La Land is fine, but whatever.)

Best Production Design:

  • Doctor Strange
  • Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
  • Hail, Caesar!
  • La La Land
  • Nocturnal Animals

Not a great category, honestly. I wouldn’t even really root for Nocturnal Animals here.

Honestly, I might say Hail, Caesar! is the best choice. It’s certainly got good production design, even if I found it somewhat lacking as a whole.

Best Costume Design:

  • Allied
  • Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
  • Florence Foster Jenkins
  • Jackie
  • La La Land

Oh yeah, Allied.

I’ll root for Jackie just on general principle.

Best Makeup & Hair:

  • Doctor Strange
  • Florence Foster Jenkins
  • Hacksaw Ridge
  • Nocturnal Animals
  • Rogue One

Florence Foster Jenkins is the only one of these which made the Academy’s shortlist. So I imagine it’s getting nominated.

Best Original Music:

  • Arrival
  • Jackie
  • La La Land
  • Lion
  • Nocturnal Animals

Good category. Nocturnal Animals has an absolutely beautiful score, but Mica Levi’s work on Jackie is not to be overlooked.

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Had you forgotten this film? The BAFTA hasn’t.

Best Sound:

  • Arrival
  • Deepwater Horizon
  • Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
  • Hacksaw Ridge
  • La La Land

Hell, yeah. Deepwater Horizon sounded incredible. I would be totally fine with it winning. (It won’t, but I’d be fine with it if it did.)

Best Special Visual Effects:

  • Arrival
  • Doctor Strange
  • Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
  • The Jungle Book
  • Rogue One

The Force Awakens got 4 nominations and Rogue One got one. Does that say anything?

Best Film Not in the English Language:

  • Dheepan
  • Julieta
  • Mustang
  • Son of Saul
  • Toni Erdmann

Three of these films counted as 2015 releases in the U.S.

I wonder who wins this. You’ve got the big winner of last year (Son of Saul) and the big winner of this year (Toni Erdmann).

Best Animated Film:

  • Finding Dory
  • Kubo and the Two Strings
  • Moana
  • Zootopia (a.k.a Zootropolis)

Glad to see Finding Dory here. It’s been kind of snubbed so far.

Best Documentary:

  • The Beatles: Eight Days a Week – The Touring Years
  • The Eagle Huntress
  • Notes on Blindness
  • 13th
  • Weiner

WEINER!

That’s all I’ve got.

So looking over these, a few takeaways:

  • Nocturnal Animals is doing a lot better than you might think. It got 9 nominations, and if it hits the Producers and Directors Guilds this week (it’s already hit the Writers Guild), don’t rule it out as a possible Best Picture contender. I, for one, hope it is.
  • Moonlight stumbled just a tad, missing Director and Editing. However, Spotlight did the same, and look where it ended up.
  • La La Land continues to dominate: 11 nominations, which I’m fairly certain is the most any film received. I don’t know if there’s much point in doubting its chances to sweep, but let’s just see how the guilds go.
  • Loving got shut out. It’s probably done for. Even Ruth Negga, who’s up for the BAFTA’s Rising Star Award, couldn’t sneak into Best Actress. Add to that the film’s total snub at SAG, and we can probably count it out for good.
  • Silence may or may not have been eligible; I’m not certain. But its total absence here isn’t any kind of a good sign.
  • I, Daniel Blake makes a pretty good showing. I don’t know if that’ll give it any kind of Oscar boost, but it can’t hurt.
  • Arrival is quite secure. 9 nominations, including Film, Director, Adapted Screenplay, and Actress. No reason to doubt its chances at this point.

Later today, we’ll get the Producers Guild nominations, and I’ll go over those. Thursday is the Directors Guild nominations. And so the awards train chugs along.

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One thought on “BAFTA Nominations: 2016

  1. Pingback: Predicting the 89th Academy Awards Nominees | If you want the gravy...

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