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BAFTA Nominations: Let’s Get Ready to Rumble

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He's happy. I think. Maybe "satisfied" is more like it.

Guess who’s sitting pretty?

The BAFTAs are a fairly solid Oscar prognosticator. There were a couple of surprises this year (including one nomination which would have sent my drink out of my nose had I one), but on the whole, I think it’s becoming fairly clear what will be nominated.

Seriously, though, that one nomination…what the fuck.

Film:

  • Birdman
  • Boyhood
  • The Grand Budapest Hotel
  • The Imitation Game
  • The Theory of Everything

Well, no surprises here, really. Maybe GBH is a bit surprising, but I think that just proves, pretty much beyond a shadow of a doubt, that it’ll be up for Best Picture at the Oscars. Surprised Nightcrawler isn’t here (you’ll see why), and a little disappointed that either Game or Theory wasn’t left off in favor of something more interesting (like, say, Gone Girl), but shit happens.

Boyhood will probably win, but…we’ll see.

British Film:

  • ’71
  • The Imitation Game
  • Paddington
  • Pride
  • The Theory of Everything
  • Under the Skin

Fuck yeah, ’71! Can’t wait to see that. And it’s nice to see Pride (and, to a degree, Under the Skin) here too.

But…Paddington? Really? You needed to go to six nominations for that? And Mr. Turner isn’t here, which doesn’t bode well for its Oscar chances.

And…where’s Calvary? Come on, BAFTA.

Director:

  • Wes Anderson, The Grand Budapest Hotel
  • Damien Chazelle, Whiplash
  • Alejandro González Iñárritu, Birdman
  • Richard Linklater, Boyhood
  • James Marsh, The Theory of Everything

Marsh? Really? Over Morten Tyldum (not that he deserved it either, but still). And you nominate Chazelle but don’t nominate Whiplash for Picture. Weirdos.

Also, no Mike Leigh. Or David Fincher. But Anderson got on, which makes me think his Oscar chances are pretty much 100% (for a nomination).

(Source)

Still very much in the game.

Actor:

  • Benedict Cumberbatch, The Imitation Game
  • Ralph Fiennes, The Grand Budapest Hotel
  • Jake Gyllenhaal, Nightcrawler
  • Michael Keaton, Birdman
  • Eddie Redmayne, The Theory of Everything

4 of these guys will be up for Oscars for sure. Fiennes…I’m not totally sold on, especially since a major contender was listed as Supporting here (and the Academy would put him Lead, no question). In any case, this’ll be a cut-throat category. I’ll guess Cumberbatch wins, but that’s just a guess.

The absence of Timothy Spall is kind of baffling. He won fucking Cannes, I assumed he’d be a shoo-in on his home turf.

Actress:

  • Amy Adams, Big Eyes
  • Felicity Jones, The Theory of Everything
  • Julianne Moore, Still Alice
  • Rosamund Pike, Gone Girl
  • Reese Witherspoon, Wild

Again, 4 of these ladies will be up for Oscars. Adams, though…I can’t see it happening (not least because it’s just not an Oscar-worthy performance). I don’t know who the 5th nominee will be–could it really be Jennifer Aniston?–but I really doubt it’ll be Adams.

Supporting Actor:

  • Steve Carell, Foxcatcher
  • Ethan Hawke, Boyhood
  • Edward Norton, Birdman
  • Mark Ruffalo, Foxcatcher
  • J.K. Simmons, Whiplash

Once again, 4/5. And that’s just because they put Carell Supporting. Whether he gets on at the Oscars or not is kind of dicey at this point, and category confusion won’t help. Hopefully the 5th slot goes to Josh Brolin (because I fucking loved him), but one must assume Simmons has it in the bag.

Supporting Actress:

  • Patricia Arquette, Boyhood
  • Keira Knightley, The Imitation Game
  • Rene Russo, Nightcrawler
  • Imelda Staunton, Pride
  • Emma Stone, Birdman

See, given the Russo nomination (the live announcement announced this category first), I thought Nightcrawler would get a Best Film nod for sure.

Anyway, Arquette, Knightley, and Stone are Oscar locks. Russo is a bit of a long shot, but not impossible (since Meryl probably won’t get in). Staunton, I’m glad to see, since she was fun, but I’d have rather seen Tilda Swinton (though Snowpiercer might not have been eligible this year for the BAFTAs).

Original Screenplay:

  • Birdman
  • Boyhood
  • The Grand Budapest Hotel
  • Nightcrawler
  • Whiplash

4/5 of the Oscar category, and Whiplash, which the Academy decided was Adapted (which might well fuck it out of a nomination).

Adapted Screenplay:

  • American Sniper
  • Gone Girl
  • The Imitation Game
  • Paddington
  • The Theory of Everything

Paddington.

Fucking Paddington.

That’s the one about the bear. The one that looked like it was shaky ground because they changed the voice of Paddington at the last minute (from Colin Firth to Ben Whishaw). The one that doesn’t look so hot from the trailers, but has 97% on Rotten Tomatoes.

I don’t think I can handle this right now.

And…American Sniper? That didn’t seem like a writing contender to me. Why they overlooked Inherent Vice here is beyond me (unless it was an eligibility thing). But yeah, Gone Girl and the two Oscar baits will be up for the Oscars, with the other two up in the air.

This happened. (Source)

This happened. (Source)

Cinematography:

  • Birdman
  • The Grand Budapest Hotel
  • Ida
  • Interstellar
  • Mr. Turner

Oh, there’s Mr. Turner. In what was, admittedly, a tailor-made category for it. Nice to see Ida here (though I’ve cooled on it a little).

Birdman, GBH, and Interstellar are pretty much Oscar locks. The other two aren’t out of the question, but Unbroken is probably getting on over Ida.

Editing:

  • Birdman
  • The Grand Budapest Hotel
  • The Imitation Game
  • Nightcrawler
  • The Theory of Everything
  • Whiplash

Apparently there are six because of a tie. I wonder which of these got in because of it?

No Gone Girl? That saddens me. But I’m thinking Nightcrawler barely missed a Film nomination. (It’s getting an Oscar nomination for Picture. I can almost guarantee it at this point.)

Still the best production design of the year. (Source)

Still the best production design of the year. (Source)

Production Design:

  • Big Eyes
  • The Grand Budapest Hotel
  • The Imitation Game
  • Interstellar
  • Mr. Turner

More Big Eyes (though this nomination is at least somewhat deserved). More Interstellar too, which I like.

Costume Design:

  • The Grand Budapest Hotel
  • The Imitation Game
  • Into the Woods
  • Mr. Turner
  • The Theory of Everything

Would this be our Oscar category? I can’t see them going for both Game and Theory, but it’s not impossible, I guess.

Makeup and Hair:

  • The Grand Budapest Hotel
  • Guardians of the Galaxy
  • Into the Woods
  • Mr. Turner
  • The Theory of Everything

Guardians. Fuck yes.

Still the best (or very close to it) score of the year.

Still the best (or very close to it) score of the year.

 

Original Music:

  • Birdman
  • The Grand Budapest Hotel
  • Interstellar
  • The Theory of Everything
  • Under the Skin

Under the Skin. Damn right.

A bit surprised they didn’t go with The Imitation Game here, but Desplat got on for GBH, so it’s all right.

Swap out Birdman for Game (you fucked up, Academy), and that might well be the Oscar category.

Sound:

  • American Sniper
  • Birdman
  • The Grand Budapest Hotel
  • The Imitation Game
  • Whiplash

Yes, The Imitation Game had noteworthy sound mixing.

Whiplash deserves this, but I could see Sniper pulling it off.

Special Visual Effects:

  • Dawn of the Planet of the Apes
  • Guardians of the Galaxy
  • The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies
  • Interstellar
  • X-Men: Days of Future Past

This will probably be the Oscar category. Maybe X-Men doesn’t make it on (Godzilla might instead), but it’s one or the other.

Film Not in the English Language:

  • Ida
  • Leviathan
  • The Lunchbox
  • Trash
  • Two Days, One Night

The Lunchbox? That opened in April here, I think. I figured this would’ve been eligible last year.

And Trash…that’s the new Stephen Daldry film. Didn’t look too good. Early reviews seem all right, but I can’t imagine it was better than Force Majeure (or Wild Tales).

In any case, I’m rooting for Leviathan.

...as the celebrity ruminating on his career (with the help of other celebrities)... ()

Documentary:

  • 20 Feet from Stardom
  • 20,000 Days on Earth
  • CITIZENFOUR
  • Finding Vivian Maier
  • Virunga

No Life Itself (well, maybe Ebert isn’t as beloved there)? No Jodorowsky’s Dune? I guess 20 Feet wasn’t eligible until this year.

20,000 Days getting on is awesome, though. I’m sure CITIZENFOUR or Virunga wins, but we’ll just have to wait and see.

Animated Film:

  • Big Hero 6
  • The Boxtrolls
  • The Lego Movie

You get one guess.

Outstanding Debut by a British Writer, Director, or Producer:

  • Stephen Beresford, David Livingstone, Pride
  • Elaine Constantine, Northern Soul
  • Yann Demange, Gregory Burke, ’71
  • Paul Katis, Andrew de Lotbinière, Kajaki: The True Story
  • Hong Khaou, Lilting

Kajaki is an Afghan War drama. That’s all I’ve really got to add here.

Betting the guys from ’71 win this. Or the guys from Pride.

EE Rising Star Award:

  • Gugu Mbatha-Raw
  • Jack O’Connell
  • Margot Robbie
  • Miles Teller
  • Shailene Woodley

The public votes on this one. Just FYI.

And Mbatha-Raw all the way.

Hopefully a breakthrough performance.

All the way.

And the morning of the 15th, the Oscars announce theirs, and we’re off to the races.

 

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