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As Long As Boyhood Doesn’t Win: Kansas City, Broadcast Film Critics (Critics’ Choice), Indiana Film Journalists, and Dallas-Fort Worth Nominees/Winners

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Well done, KC.

Well done, KC.

Normally I’d kick things off with the Critics’ Choice nominees, but I live in the Kansas City area and figured I’d give our local film awards a shout-out.

(UPDATE: Finished!)

Kansas City Film Critics Circle:

Picture: Birdman

I dig it. It’s also not Boyhood, so I dig it even more.

Director (Robert Altman Award): Richard Linklater, Boyhood

Oh. Well.

Actor: Michael Keaton, Birdman

I don’t want to jinx it, but is there really a chance he’s not going to win the Oscar at this point?

Actress: Rosamund Pike, Gone Girl

Fair choice. She won’t win the Oscar, but she might come closer than people think.

Supporting Actor: Edward Norton, Birdman

Same, though he could surprise.

Supporting Actress: Patricia Arquette, Boyhood

She’s got it in the bag.

Original Screenplay: Birdman

So do they!

Adapted Screenplay: Obvious Child

Unexpected. Did this play here? It must have. I keep forgetting this is adapted. Surprised they didn’t pick Gone Girl, but I’m all for surprises.

Animated Film: The Lego Movie

Duh.

Foreign Language Film: Ida

Saw it at the main arthouse, same day as Dance of Reality.

Vince Koehler Award for Best Science Fiction, Fantasy, or Horror Film: The Babadook

This just opened here. It’s a fair choice. Wouldn’t be mine, but it’s a good movie and it makes sense.

The BFCA went for it. But the Globes ignored it completely. Where will the Academy stand? (Source)

Now on to the Broadcast Film Critics’ Association Critics’ Choice Awards. They’re a fairly major Oscar prognosticator, so let’s pay careful attention, kids.

Picture:

  • Birdman
  • Boyhood
  • Gone Girl
  • The Grand Budapest Hotel
  • The Imitation Game
  • Nightcrawler
  • Selma
  • The Theory of Everything
  • Unbroken 
  • Whiplash

10 films. The Academy has gone with 9 nominees the last three years. If they do so again, let’s say all 9 are probably going to come from this list. Probably. I still have a hard time believing that Unbroken has a chance. Poor showings in Picture/Director categories, a total shut-out at the Globes, weak reviews with a lack of passionate supporters (and a general sense that it’s exactly the kind of “prestigious” awards-bait we feared)…I think it’ll miss out.

Nightcrawler, Selma, and Whiplash are also vulnerable, Selma because it’s entering the race so late and the other two because they’re basically indies. But with Into the Woods fading (it didn’t even make the Academy’s Makeup/Hairstyling shortlist. That’s a really bad sign), Mr. Turner not cracking Picture, and Inherent Vice looking to be too weird for the Academy (and A Most Violent Year not catching on outside of Supporting Actress), I think we may be looking at the Oscar category, or something very close to it.

Director:

  • Wes Anderson, The Grand Budapest Hotel
  • Ava DuVernay, Selma
  • David Fincher, Gone Girl
  • Alejandro González Iñárritu, Birdman
  • Angelina Jolie, Unbroken
  • Richard Linklater, Boyhood

Jolie isn’t getting on. No way in hell. The film might, barely, but Director is not happening.

Take her out, and maybe swap someone for Damien Chazelle, and you’ve probably got the final category. If Ava DuVernay gets left off, I’ll be pissed. If it’s for Nolan, I’ll be less pissed, but not by much.

Actor:

  • Benedict Cumberbatch, The Imitation Game
  • Ralph Fiennes, The Grand Budapest Hotel
  • Jake Gyllenhaal, Nightcrawler
  • Michael Keaton, Birdman
  • David Oyelowo, Selma
  • Eddie Redmayne, The Theory of Everything

Likewise, drop one of these guys (Fiennes, probably, but I fear Oyelowo may get the boot instead), and you’ve probably got the Oscar category. Tom Hardy and Timothy Spall are outside shots (more so Spall), and Steve Carell might just pull it off (I’d be fine with him getting on over Cumberbatch, but that’s not happening), but realistically, this is what we’ll have to work with.

Actress:

  • Jennifer Aniston, Cake
  • Marion Cotillard, Two Days, One Night
  • Felicity Jones, The Theory of Everything
  • Julianne Moore, Still Alice
  • Rosamund Pike, Gone Girl
  • Reese Witherspoon, Wild

Is Jennifer Aniston really going to get on? That would be insane. Again, the film isn’t supposed that good at all. But it’s either her or Marion Cotillard who gets left off. The other four are in (though, is it just me, or does it feel like people are just putting Witherspoon down as a nominee and moving on?).

Supporting Actor:

  • Josh Brolin, Inherent Vice
  • Robert Duvall, The Judge
  • Ethan Hawke, Boyhood
  • Edward Norton, Birdman
  • Mark Ruffalo, Foxcatcher
  • J.K. Simmons, Whiplash

For God’s sake, don’t nominate Duvall. Just let Brolin get in. I’m practically begging you/them/the Universe. That film was such bullshit, and the performance wasn’t that good. I get that it’s not a great category. But have some fucking self-respect. Don’t make me call The Judge an Oscar nominee.

Supporting Actress:

  • Patricia Arquette, Boyhood
  • Jessica Chastain, A Most Violent Year
  • Keira Knightley, The Imitation Game
  • Emma Stone, Birdman
  • Meryl Streep, Into the Woods
  • Tilda Swinton, Snowpiercer

Don’t fucking play with me. Is Tilda actually in contention?

It would seriously be a late Hanukkah present for me if they with her over giving Meryl another nomination. Not that she has a chance at winning (and, much as I love the performance, she shouldn’t win–Stone is easily my vote), but come on, people, shake things up a little.

He has not been forgotten. (Source)

Young Actor/Actress:

  • Ellar Coltrane, Boyhood
  • Ansel Elgort, The Fault in Our Stars
  • Mackenzie Foy, Interstellar
  • Jaeden Lieberher, St. Vincent
  • Tony Revolori, The Grand Budapest Hotel
  • Quvenzhané Wallis, Annie
  • Noah Wiseman, The Babadook

Excellent category. I’d probably go with Wiseman or Foy, but you could make a case for any of them (I’ve heard Annie is a pretty terrible film, but I’d assume Wallis is good in it).

Ensemble:

  • Birdman
  • Boyhood
  • The Grand Budapest Hotel
  • The Imitation Game
  • Into the Woods
  • Selma

I’d say Birdman by a mile, but Into the Woods keeps popping up here. For what it’s worth.

Original Screenplay:

  • Birdman
  • Boyhood
  • The Grand Budapest Hotel
  • Nightcrawler
  • Whiplash

This is probably the Oscar category, barring a foreign film getting nominated (which, I’d be fine if Boyhood or Whiplash missed out here)–or maybe Locke?

Adapted Screenplay:

  • Gone Girl
  • The Imitation Game
  • Inherent Vice
  • The Theory of Everything
  • Unbroken
  • Wild

Now, here we have a slightly trickier situation. Personally, I think the Academy will pass on Unbroken and go with the other five, since a film like this might scrape by with a Picture nomination, but Screenplay is a whole other matter. They may instead pass on Inherent Vice, which would be a shame, but my instincts say otherwise.

I still don’t quite see why Wild is such a fixture on these lists, and I think they could do a lot better than Theory, but they’re probably locked in as well.

Cinematography:

  • Birdman
  • The Grand Budapest Hotel
  • Interstellar
  • Mr. Turner
  • Unbroken

Birdman is in, and by far the frontrunner to win. Unbroken is a safe bet here. The other three, though…Mr. Turner hasn’t made all that much of an impression, GBH is more about the production design and costumes, and Interstellar, while decently safe, could be a victim of its own mixed reception.

This is a category that makes some odd choices (like The Grandmaster last year). So I won’t be too shocked by whatever happens.

()

Once considered a frontrunner, now it probably won’t even make Picture.

Editing:

  • Birdman
  • Boyhood
  • Gone Girl
  • Interstellar
  • Whiplash

Swap out Interstellar with The Imitation Game and you’re probably there. (If Nightcrawler gets in here at the Oscars…well, look for it to upset in some category.

Art Direction:

  • Birdman
  • The Grand Budapest Hotel
  • Inherent Vice
  • Interstellar
  • Into the Woods
  • Snowpiercer

Again, I bet the whole Oscar category is here. I’m guessing either Birdman (contemporary design doesn’t often get nominated, Her being a very pleasant surprise) or Inherent Vice (though American Hustle got nominated here, so it’s not out of the question) doesn’t make the cut, and we get the rest.

Just let me call Snowpiercer an Oscar nominee and I’ll be happy. (Watched it again last night. Still love it. Showed it to a friend, too, and he loved it.)

Costume Design:

  • The Grand Budapest Hotel
  • Inherent Vice
  • Into the Woods
  • Maleficent
  • Mr. Turner

Since relatively few awards groups award costuming, this is a harder category to predict. You’ve got some solid threats here, like Exodus: Gods & KingsImitation Game, Theory of Everything, and Unbroken. I just have a hard time imagining Maleficent getting on, not least because the costumes actually aren’t that memorable.

Hair/Makeup:

  • Foxcatcher
  • Guardians of the Galaxy
  • The Hobbit: Battle of the Five Armies
  • Interstellar
  • Into the Woods

Well, since Into the Woods didn’t make the Academy shortlist (which was a legit shock), I’m thinking the first three films on the list are the likely contenders. I hope so. If I can call both Guardians and Snowpiercer Oscar nominees, I might cry.

Visual Effects:

  • Dawn of the Planet of the Apes
  • Edge of Tomorrow
  • Guardians of the Galaxy
  • The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies
  • Interstellar

Edge didn’t make the Academy’s shortlist, so I’ll just take a guess and say Godzilla or Captain America takes its place.

Action Film:

  • American Sniper
  • Captain America: The Winter Soldier
  • Edge of Tomorrow
  • Fury
  • Guardians of the Galaxy

Guardians.

Actor in an Action Film:

  • Bradley Cooper, American Sniper
  • Tom Cruise, Edge of Tomorrow
  • Chris Evans, Captain America: The Winter Soldier
  • Brad Pitt, Fury
  • Chris Pratt, Guardians of the Galaxy

Cooper’s performance is an actual Oscar-caliber performance (or so I’ve heard), not just a great genre performance. He’ll probably win this by a mile.

With 100% of her brain capacity, you'd think she could come up with a better script. ()

“With 100% of her brain capacity, you’d think she could come up with a better script. ” – Me

Actress in an Action Film:

  • Emily Blunt, Edge of Tomorrow
  • Scarlett Johansson, Lucy
  • Jennifer Lawrence, The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1
  • Zoe Saldana, Guardians of the Galaxy
  • Shailene Woodley, Divergent

I liked Saldana, but that scene in Lucy where she talks to her mother is a legitimately fine piece of acting. So I’ll go with Johansson.

Comedy Film:

  • Birdman
  • The Grand Budapest Hotel
  • St. Vincent
  • Top Five
  • 22 Jump Street

Strong lineup, but Birdman is by far the best. (I wanted to love Top Five, but…I just really liked it. I’ll explain later.)

Actor in a Comedy:

  • Jon Favreau, Chef
  • Ralph Fiennes, The Grand Budapest Hotel
  • Michael Keaton, Birdman
  • Bill Murray, St. Vincent
  • Chris Rock, Top Five
  • Channing Tatum, 22 Jump Street

All good performances. Murray is fun, Rock is Rock (which is fine by me), and Favreau, while perhaps the weak link in performance terms, made a charming movie, so I’ll allow it.

But Michael Keaton.

Actress in a Comedy:

  • Rose Byrne, Neighbors
  • Rosario Dawson, Top Five
  • Melissa McCarthy, St. Vincent
  • Jenny Slate, Obvious Child
  • Kristen Wiig, The Skeleton Twins

By all accounts, Slate is the best performance here–ironically, hers is the only one I haven’t seen. I’m glad Byrne got on, and McCarthy was good, but I have to vote for Dawson. Not only because I was so happy to see her get a good role for once, but also because she was great in the movie.

Sci Fi/Horror Film:

  • The Babadook
  • Dawn of the Planet of the Apes
  • Interstellar
  • Snowpiercer
  • Under the Skin

Oh, this is brutal. Really brutal. Because Interstellar was amazing. But Snowpiercer, I’d argue, will hold up better over time. And the other three range from good to damn good.

Score:

  • Birdman
  • Gone Girl
  • The Imitation Game
  • Interstellar
  • The Theory of Everything

Since Birdman‘s score was ineligible for the Oscars, I’m not totally sure what the 5th nominee will be (since the other four all seem safe bets); I’ll just guess Unbroken, though I think/hope Under the Skin could sneak on.

Song:

  • “Big Eyes”, Big Eyes
  • “Everything is Awesome”, The Lego Movie
  • “Glory”, Selma
  • “Lost Stars”, Begin Again
  • “Yellow Flicker Beat”, The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1

Sure?

Foreign Language Film:

  • Force Majeure
  • Ida
  • Leviathan
  • Two Days, One Night
  • Wild Tales

Unless one of these gets left off for Winter Sleep, I think this is our category. Which I’m fine with.

Documentary:

  • CITIZENFOUR
  • Glen Campbell: I’ll Be Me
  • Jodorowsky’s Dune
  • Last Days in Vietnam
  • Life Itself
  • The Overnighters

This category’s less cut-and-dried. CITIZENFOUR and Life Itself seem like safe bets, and I wouldn’t be at all surprised to see Jodorowsky’s Dune and Last Days in Vietnam on here. But there’s Finding Vivian Maier, Tales of the Grim Sleeper, and Virunga, all of which have solid enough reputations to be considered threats.

Animated Feature:

  • Big Hero 6
  • The Boxtrolls
  • The Book of Life
  • How to Train Your Dragon 2
  • The Lego Movie

One of these will probably get left off in favor of The Tale of the Princess Kaguya. I’m going to guess Book of Life, but since Lego Movie and Princess Kaguya are the only films that have won here at all, it really could be anything.

The horses had to make do with

At least it was a finalist.

Indiana Film Journalists Association:

Picture: Boyhood

Runner-up: Whiplash

Finalists:

  • Dawn of the Planet of the Apes
  • The Grand Budapest Hotel
  • Guardians of the Galaxy
  • The Imitation Game
  • Life Itself
  • Locke
  • A Most Violent Year
  • St. Vincent

I’ll give them this, it’s an eclectic list. The Birdman omission is surprising, but I suppose the winner is what matters.

Director: Richard Linklater, Boyhood

Runner-up: Damien Chazelle, Whiplash

I mean, setting aside the scope of what Linklater achieved, Chazelle’s actual direction was far more memorable, but the 12-years-in-the-making angle is hard to ignore, I guess.

Actor: Ralph Fiennes, The Grand Budapest Hotel

Runner-up: Tom Hardy, Locke

Wow. No Michael Keaton. Still don’t quite get why people went so crazy for Fiennes’ performance, but I probably shouldn’t say anything until I see it again.

Actress: Reese Witherspoon, Wild

Runner-up: Rosamund Pike, Gone Girl

I think this is first time I’ve seen Witherspoon actually win. And no Julianne Moore. Indiana plays by their own rules.

Supporting Actor: J.K. Simmons, Whiplash

Runner-up: Ethan Hawke, Boyhood

And no Edward Norton. Hmm.

Supporting Actress: Jessica Chastain, A Most Violent Year

Runner-up: Melissa McCarthy, St. Vincent

Woah. No Patricia Arquette. Instead, they go with McCarthy (whom I consider a lead, in line with the BFCA’s judgment). Maybe they weren’t sure whether to put her lead or supporting?

Original Screenplay: The Grand Budapest Hotel

Runner-up: Boyhood

Okay, they seriously must have hated Birdman. I was going to guess that they didn’t want to do what everyone else was doing, but their love of Boyhood rules that out.

Adapted Screenplay: Whiplash

Runner-up: The Imitation Game

Not sure how Gone Girl wasn’t either, but I’m not sure about a lot of things with this group.

Animated Feature: The Lego Movie

Runner-up: The Boxtrolls

Wouldn’t it be weirdly hilarious if the Academy somehow didn’t nominate The Lego Movie? I would find that hysterical.

Foreign Language Film: Two Days, One Night

Runner-up: Ida

Woah, they picked The Raid: Redemption in this category a couple years back. Too bad they didn’t make a more daring choice this year.

Documentary: Life Itself

Runner-up: An Honest Liar

The runner-up is a documentary about the skeptic James Randi. That might be worth a look.

Musical Score: Under the Skin

Runner-up: The Grand Budapest Hotel

Just nominate this score for the Oscar already.

Original Vision Award: Boyhood

Runner-up: Under the Skin

Seems a bit gratuitous, since it already won Best Picture, but no matter.

You couldn't ask for a better performance. ()

Just like that.

Dallas-Fort Worth Film Critics:

All awards will be followed by the runners-up, ordered by judgment.

Picture: Birdman

  • Boyhood
  • The Imitation Game
  • The Theory of Everything
  • The Grand Budapest Hotel
  • Whiplash
  • Gone Girl
  • Selma
  • Wild
  • Nightcrawler

Might be the first time I’ve seen Wild make a Best Picture list. And good call on Best Picture. Again, I’m not ruling out the possibility that it takes the big one in a close race.

Director: Alejandro González Iñárritu, Birdman

  • Richard Linklater, Boyhood
  • Wes Anderson, The Grand Budapest Hotel
  • David Fincher, Gone Girl
  • Ava DuVernay, Selma

Glad they got DuVernay on there.

Actor: Michael Keaton, Birdman

  • Eddie Redmayne, The Theory of Everything
  • Benedict Cumberbatch, The Imitation Game
  • Jake Gyllenhaal, Nightcrawler
  • Timothy Spall, Mr. Turner

Spall! Wonder if he can make it on.

Actress: Reese Witherspoon, Wild

  • Julianne Moore, Still Alice
  • Rosamund Pike, Gone Girl
  • Felicity Jones, The Theory of Everything
  • Marion Cotillard, Two Days, One Night

Another win for Witherspoon! Maybe a late surge could happen? The fact that no one is talking about Still Alice outside of Moore could end up costing her the big one.

Supporting Actor: J.K. Simmons, Whiplash

  • Edward Norton, Birdman
  • Ethan Hawke, Boyhood
  • Mark Ruffalo, Foxcatcher
  • Alfred Molina, Love is Strange

Molina, huh? I personally think he’s a lead, but whatever.

Supporting Actress: Patricia Arquette, Boyhood

  • Emma Stone, Birdman
  • Keira Knightley, The Imitation Game
  • Jessica Chastain, A Most Violent Year
  • Laura Dern, Wild

I wonder if Dern will actually get on. Between Wild and Fault in Our Stars, it could just happen.

Screenplay: Birdman

  • Boyhood

Only one runner-up? Also, has Boyhood won a single writing award?

Cinematography: Birdman

  • Interstellar

Mmm-kay…

Musical Score: Interstellar

If Zimmer won another Oscar, I wouldn’t mind at all–at least if Mica Levi doesn’t get nominated.

Foreign Film: Force Majeure

  • Ida
  • Winter Sleep
  • Leviathan
  • Wild Tales

They nominate TDON for Actress but not here. Strange. Like this list, though (and wholly support the winner).

Documentary: CITIZENFOUR

  • Life Itself
  • Jodorowsky’s Dune
  • The Overnighters
  • The Great Invisible

This is basically a coin-flip race at this point.

Animated Film: The Lego Movie

  • Big Hero 6

Russell Smith Award: Boyhood

For “the best low-budget or cutting-edge independent film”. If you say so, guys.

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2 thoughts on “As Long As Boyhood Doesn’t Win: Kansas City, Broadcast Film Critics (Critics’ Choice), Indiana Film Journalists, and Dallas-Fort Worth Nominees/Winners

  1. I think you got Johansson and Saldana mixed up for the commentary for Actress in an Action film.

    Also, I really need to watch Snowpiercer already. It’s on Netflix now, and there’s a second run theater playing it near where I live.

    • I mean, I really did like Saldana, but I considered that a good performance in a great film, while Johansson gave a good/very-good performance in a mediocre film.

      And yes, yes you do. If you can catch it in the theater, I recommend it.

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